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April 25, 2008

WinInfo Short Takes: Week of April 28, 2008

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An often irreverent look at some of the week's other news, including no XP extension for you, Microsoft earnings, a SPOT watch cancellation, a threat to Yahoo!, Wii sales, Amazon earnings, Yahoo!'s open play, new Ubuntu, OLPC and Windows, and so much more...

WinInfo Blog

Leo and I seem to be back on schedule: We recorded a new episode of the Windows Weekly podcast on Thursday as usual. It should be online soon.
http://www.winsupersite.com/paul/podcast.asp

I also appeared on last week's episode of TWiT (This Week in Tech), Leo's primary podcast. In addition to Leo, of course, I joined John C. Dvorak, Veronica Belmont, and Roger McGuinn for episode 139 of TWiT, dubbed 4-TWiTty. The range of topics we hit on is almost too long to even understand, but hopefully it's an interesting listen. It was certainly an interesting experience in that Leo and I have settled into what I think is a comfortable rhythm on Windows Weekly, and of course with many more people, it's just not the same. Hopefully in a good way.
http://www.twit.tv/139

Short Takes

Microsoft: XP Extension is Not Happening
Remember that little bit from Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer, where he noted that his company would do the customer-centric thing and extend Windows XP's life cycle is there was enough demand? Yeah, well it turns out that was just a joke. Microsoft returned to its iron curtain ways today with the following statement issued in the wake of XP-Gate: "Our plan for Windows XP availability is unchanged," a Microsoft spokesperson said. "We're confident that's the right thing to do based on the feedback we've heard from our customers and partners." Well. There you go.

SPOT the Dog: Microsoft Kills High Tech Watch
Remember the SPOT watch? You know, the Dick Tracy-looking thing that could connect to the MSN Direct service to wirelessly download sports scores and weather forecasts? The thing that was the size of a dinner plate strapped to your wrist? Ran a tiny version of the .NET Framework? Made the Timex Data Link watch look svelte by comparison? Ringing any bells? No? Oh then you won't care that it's dead. Neither do I.

Microsoft Earnings on Track
Microsoft announced its quarterly earnings yesterday and the results were pretty much as expected: Microsoft earned $4.41 billion on record revenues of $14.45 billion, coming in on the low end of expectations. The big surprise was that profits actually fell year over year: In the same quarter last year, the software giant posted profits of $4.93 billion. But before anyone gets too misty eyed over days gone by, those profits were artificially aided by a one-time bonus of over $1 billion thanks to deferred sales of Windows Vista. Not surprisingly, Windows and Office were responsible for about 65 percent of Microsoft's revenues. But there were some surprises: Windows revenues were actually down year over year (and I'd have to guess that's the first time that's happened in a while, though again I'd point to that one-time bump from last year as part of the reason). And the division responsible for the Xbox 360 actually made money for, like, the second time ever. The online division? Not so much.

Microsoft to Yahoo!: Time is of the Essence
During a conference call about its quarterly earnings, Microsoft again said that it saw no reason to raise its hostile takeover bid for struggling online giant Yahoo!. In fact, Microsoft issued what amounted as a threat to Yahoo!'s board of directors, noting that "time is of the essence." This is a reference to the fact that Microsoft can begin trying to replace Yahoo!'s board with one that is more amenable to a merger starting this weekend. But Microsoft CFO Chris Liddell also outlined another possibility: Microsoft could simply withdraw its $44.6 billion offer for Yahoo! and leave the company to die a natural death on its own. He said Microsoft could elaborate on "alternative" plans next week if that was the decision. I have to say I derive a guilty kind of fun from watching corporate giants threaten each other. I hope this one goes down to the wire.

Wii Sales Propel Nintendo
The Nintendo Wii may be the lamest video game system to come down the pike in decades, but then consumers are pretty lame too and they've been snapping up Wii consoles in ever-increasing numbers. (Just a hunch, but I bet most Wii's sit unused next to the TV within weeks of purchase.) Nintendo's net profit in its last fiscal year surged almost 48 percent thanks to the Wii (Nintendo doesn't report quarterly results like a "normal" company) to $16.2 billion, $2.5 billion of which it recorded as profit. Nintendo sold 18.6 million Wii consoles in the last year for a total of 24.5 million units since the device went on sale. It also sold over 30 million units of its portable DS game device. While DS sales are expected to slow this coming year, Nintendo expects to sell another 20 million Wii's. I'm sure they'll have no problem doing just that. There's a sucker born every minute.

Amazon Gains in Weakened Economy but Provides Few Details
Many were hoping that Amazon would spell out exactly how its digital products lines--the Kindle ebook reader, online MP3 store, and Unbox TV/movie store--were performing when the company announced its quarterly earnings this week. Those people were disappointed, though Amazon's results were definitely impressive overall. The online retailer (or "e-tailer" as I say) posted net income of $143 million on sales of $4.13 billion, up 30 percent year over year. The company attributed its growth mostly to the Amazon Prime shipping program, which benefits from favorable foreign exchange rates. As for those digital products, no one is saying, but Amazon derived over half of its sales last year from traditional books, CDs, and DVDs. So things can only improve.

Yahoo! to Open Up
Yahoo!--yes, they're still an independent entity--announced this week that it would open up its popular Web site to Web services from others and create a social networking-type experience for users. This new strategy, called Yahoo! Open Strategy (Y!OS), opens up Yahoo! to outside developers in a meaningful way for the first time and is, I suspect, a reaction of sorts to Microsoft's Mesh platform. Here's how Yahoo! makes the pitch to developers: "Think about it: Yahoo! serves more than 500 million unique users every month. We serve 120 billion page views per month. Yahoo! users spend 235 billion minutes a month on our sites. More importantly, some 10 billion relationships exist on user buddy lists and in Yahoo! address books. All that represents a mind-boggling audience for developers." I agree that it's mind-boggling. But then so is Yahoo!'s use of exclamation points. The problem with Y!OS right now, aside from that awful acronym, is that it's all strategy at this point. As with the company's earnings potentials, we have to sort of take it on faith that something's going to happen down the road.

Ubuntu 8.04 "Hardy Heron" is Here
Linux distributor Ubuntu this week shipped Ubuntu 8.04 ("Hardy Heron") this week, the latest version of its popular Linux-based OS. This is a big release by Ubuntu standards: 8.04 is a so-called Long Term Support (LTS) version of Ubuntu Linux and thus one that the organization will support for three years on the desktop and 5 on the server. And if you're really curious about Linux, Ubuntu has always been a great place to start. That's more true than ever with 8.04, which includes a new "Install inside Windows" option that makes experiencing Linux easier than ever.
http://www.ubuntu.com/

Now OLPC is Eyeing Windows Too
And speaking of Linux: For all the talk about a Linux usage surge thanks to the emerging market for ultra-low-cost PCs (ULCPCs), it turns out that the companies actually making these devices do have some common sense. And increasingly, they're looking at changing from Linux to Windows to meet customer demands. The latest in what is an increasingly inclusive line of ULCPC makers to examine this switch back to Windows is OLPC, makers of the XO laptop, which is aimed at children in developing countries. OLPC founder Nicholas Negroponte said this week that the current built-in software is "narrow," "not crisp," and "grew amorphously," despite being designed to be approachable by children who were unfamiliar with PCs. But the OLPC hasn't sold specifically because it's too unfamiliar with mainstream computing systems. So Negroponte says a dual-boot option with Windows will come soon, possibly to be followed by Windows only machines. The goal, he says, is to get computers into people's hands. "One can be an open-source advocate without being an open-source fundamentalist," he added. Absolutely.

End of Article



Reader Comments
"Just a hunch, but I bet most Wii's sit unused next to the TV within weeks of purchase"

The owners must be keeping pretty quiet if that's true! Surely they'd be telling each other how the Wii is pretty useless once the novelty wears off. Surely that message would have spread to consumers by now. Surely people wouldn't still be buying them in such numbers well over a year after release.

Fact is, most games charts (yeah, I know, these things really /are/ lame) include at least one Nintendo Wii only title. I'm guessing that most titles that are selling for the Wii are nintendo's own games, and I'd suggest that this is because only Nintendo seem to have grasped how to sell to the 'new market' of Wii owners that /they've/ created (as opposed to everyone else still pushing the same old ports that Wii owners aren't interested in).

Remember, you may not be 'interested' in the Wii - or anything else Nintendo has to offer, but the owners of the Wii aren't interested in 'hardcore gaming' - so, why shouldn't there be a Wii for those people? Secondly, lets at least show some respect to a company that everyone thought would get flattened by Microsoft and Sony, who lets face it - have a hell of a lot more cash with which they could have easily buried Nintendo.

MLomasIcomm April 25, 2008 (Article Rating: )


Paul - you are pretty closed minded regarding the Wii. At my house, we have a 360 and a Wii. I use the 360 mostly as a MC extender...which it works great as. There are a few games that I like to play on it, too. The Wii gets used constantly as a gaming console. The high scool kids that my daughter hangs out with love getting on and creating Miis to send to the Mii parade and downloading other Miis to use in gameplay. They love the games that we have, because they can get crazy while they play them. My wife and I like them too, because we are "lame" as you put it. Don't get me wrong...every now and then a good HALO match with a lot of smack talk is fun, too...but the Wii is a GREAT console!!!

--tayme

tayme April 25, 2008 (Article Rating: )


"The Nintendo Wii may be the lamest video game system to come down the pike in decades"

next to the Wii, and the DS, i'd say the lamest is the VirtualBoy....

excluding Nintendo for a moment, i'd say the worst is the Atari Lynx.

remember those? ya, i almost forgot myself. they are completely forgettable anyway though.

XP

Waethorn April 25, 2008 (Article Rating: )


Paul continues his anti-Wii jihad by insulting his readers ("consumers are pretty lame"), and then proclaiming: "Nintendo expects to sell another 20 million Wii's. I'm sure they'll have no problem doing just that. There's a sucker born every minute."

Yeah, like the guy that wrote this:

"So will SPOT be successful? ... it's clear that SPOT is here to stay, and an almost mind-blowing capabilities expansion for the sorts of everyday products we frankly don't think much about normally.

--Paul Thurrott
January 16, 2003

"Some of the SPOT watch scenarios, such as sports fans at live games getting other teams' scores, are pretty exciting. --January 17, 2003"

lotsamystuff April 25, 2008 (Article Rating: )


I have a suspicion Paul spends a lot of time unused, sitting next to the TV.

waethornsmom April 25, 2008 (Article Rating: )


"I have a suspicion Paul spends a lot of time unused, sitting next to the TV."

AAAAAAAAHAHAHAH!

It's funny because it's probably true.

RunTimeError April 25, 2008 (Article Rating: )


I'm lame because I determined the wii to be the best value in the console market on which to spend my money? What arrogant twaddle

The wii is a huge success in the market. That indicates to me, and to market analysts that are actually paying attention, that it is not lame. You're just out of touch with reality.

sroylance April 25, 2008 (Article Rating: )


I wish there was a person recording all of this... I'll keep it in mind when Vista hits 90% share and people still harp on "oh just because it's popular doesn't mean it's good".

My wii doesn't get the same use as my other consoles. Honestly the games on it arn't that great, save for ssbb, mario, and zelda. The only reason I got it was for VC and 1st party. If it wasn't so cheap, it wouldn't have been worth it.

will84 April 26, 2008 (Article Rating: )


@will84 - "My wii doesn't get the same use as my other consoles."

Do you have kids at home? Which do they prefer. Like I said earlier...the girl likes the Wii better...I like them both...depends on my mood. The Wii is funner, the 360 more advanced and involved. Both have a place in my house.

--tayme

tayme April 27, 2008 (Article Rating: )


@lotsatrolling:

Question for you - do you do your marketing hack work for a political campaign? Because you certainly love to misquote and take things out of context.

Those 2 quotes from Paul were from FIVE years ago. A lot has changed in 5 years. Was Paul excited about the product 5 years ago? Clearly. Can opinions change over the cours of 5 years? Yes. Can situations change over 5 years? Yes.

It's ironic that you criticize Paul for being guilty of sensationalism, but your comments are practice the same concepts.

Please go back to your marketing cave.

jersey72 April 28, 2008 (Article Rating: )


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