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March 2004

Microsoft’s Worst Enemy

Redmond has nothing to fear but itself
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Microsoft's worst enemy isn't Linux and open source. Nor is it Linux's not-so-distant cousin UNIX. It's not IBM, Oracle, or Sun Microsystems, Redmond's well-known and outspoken rivals in the enterprise market. It isn't even Apple Computer, with its new pro-business line of server products. It's none of these. Microsoft's biggest and most dangerous competitor is Microsoft itself and the "good enough" software that it has produced over the past few years.

Probably the product that's the best example of how Microsoft past competes with Microsoft present is Windows NT Server 4.0, but other notable examples are Windows 2000 Professional and Microsoft Office 2000. In each case, Microsoft produced software that for many large business segments was "good enough."

Competition for the OS
That's not to say that these products didn't need to be improved. In the case of NT Server 4.0, the software definitely lacked several important enterprise management features that Microsoft addressed by producing Active Directory (AD) and Win2K. Nevertheless, a lot of businesses are still running NT 4.0 although it's now almost 8 years old. Why? Because NT 4.0 is good enough.

Although NT doesn't address the needs of the enterprise nearly as well as Win2K or Windows Server 2003, NT does address the needs of most small and midsized businesses. In fact, because NT is simpler, you could even argue—especially if you already own NT—that it might be a better fit for small business than Windows 2003 is.

The same thing is true of Win2K Pro on the desktop. With the exception of System Restore, which many people turn off, most of the new Windows XP features are oriented toward the home user and don't offer enough worthwhile business advantages over Win2K Pro to make most Win2K users move to XP. In addition to solving the stability problems that plagued the Windows 9x line of software, Win2K provided important Plug and Play (PnP) enhancements and device support that NT Workstation lacked. Win2K is basically good enough. True, XP has garnered big sales numbers. However, most of those sales haven't resulted from users upgrading from Win2K Pro, but from purchases of new computers, almost all of which are bundled with XP.

Competition in the Office
Microsoft Office 2003 and its predecessor, Microsoft Office XP, face a similar dilemma vis-à-vis Office 2000. Office 2000 was good enough to handle virtually all typical office functions, such as word processing and spreadsheets. You might even be able to make the case that Office 97 was the release that actually achieved "good enough" status.

Think about it: Just how many things do users need to be able to do with a letter or a spreadsheet? Frankly, the earlier versions of Office handle quite well all the jobs that I can think of. Outlook 2003 is the only component in the Office 2003 suite that makes a compelling case for upgrading. Outlook 2003's new, smarter offline connectivity to Microsoft Exchange Server is worth the upgrade—but then again, many small businesses and organizations that don't use Exchange won't care about that feature.

Divining the Future
Microsoft is no doubt keenly aware that the biggest competition for all its flagship products is the earlier releases of the same products. That fact is certainly the driving force behind the Software Assurance (SA) program. Microsoft needs to give users a reason to move.

However, several key product lines are at a point in their life cycle at which more features don't give users sufficient reason to move to new releases: The existing feature set is good enough. Earlier releases of these products have provided the core feature sets, and most of the new features that Microsoft has since added are oriented toward the enterprise or, in the case of XP, toward the home user. Moreover, many small organizations don't buy into the SA program. You don't need much foresight to see that this situation will intensify with Microsoft's next generation of products. Microsoft past will continue to be the worst enemy of Microsoft present.

End of Article



Reader Comments
Agree with all comments about "old Systems".

Raymond Griffin February 26, 2004


Hmm.. I've been trying to tell this to the boss since win98SE and nt4sp6..(and Office 97) but now with RDP maturing, the workstations can move to linux, run the royalty free rdp client as their bootup program, and all that is left to do is for the server farms to be maintained. The industry has finally matured - back to a mainframe model.. and this is shown by the move away from the need for lots of expensive system administrators holding the users' hands on quickly redundant but overpowerful pcs. (Now they just have to make damn sure that the farm stays available and the link to them up :)
But I digress.. by staying with older os, there is always some "gottahave" function that requires the latest version of one of the MS products... which I turn cascades the requirment to upgrade all of them. A case in point I overheard was something in SQL server and XML integration - could only be done with 2003 .. off we go down the pinful, expensive upgrade track.
The only bright side is that newer versiions of Office are virtually indistingushable to the average key-thunker. My 7.5c worth.

Bruce Metelerkamp March 05, 2004


I loved this article. It was so 100% dead-on. Let me say, I've been a long time Microsoft user and supporter for 2 reasons: (1) just or not, their large market share on the three arguably most critical applications to all computer users (operating system, office suite, and web browser) assures me the highest probability that something I develop will work with the least amount of additional software on users' system and (2) they've always made products that allowed beginners to interact with their software one way (wizards, GUIs) and more advanced users to interact in other ways (macros, scripting). Not that their perfect - far from it - but products mentioned in the article really are "good enough" for 90% of average end users out there. That's their market. Power users and programmers (the those of us who are never satisfied with the status quo) will beg to differ, but for the typical home or business user, these products are already well developed.

It's now the 1940s and everybody owns at least one automobile. Windows 2000/XP is to the point that it doesn't break down every 5 miles and is quite stable. Things have progressed past the exciting - and turbulent - times when Microsoft was rolling out these core products to the masses with real, must-have upgrades. The experimental model T days of Windows 3.1/95 and Excel 5.0 are long behind us.

As I see it, there's really only two options:
(1) continue to add minor features on top of existing products (to preserve backwards compatability for fear of abandonment to Linux) and attempt to market them as "must have's" to ensure future revenue but bloat the product lines

-or-

(2) tie their product lines together even tighter basically forcing people to upgrade (and thus draw the ire of anti-trust folks even more). For example, their "free" Reporting Services add-on to SQL is very attractive. The product is "free" to licensed SQL Server folks. The rub is it requires VS.NET 2003 for you to be able to design the reports!! Without the report designer, it's basically useless. So, at $1000 per developer for VS.NET, this is a long way from free for another product's add-on!

To get around this, I predict (like alot of other people out there have done and the article elluded to) that they're really going to try to push for a subscription based model. They'll gladly "lease" all these next generation of products (the next OS, the next office suite, etc.) to you for $X per month and there'll be a key in the software that if you don't pay on time it'll shut down - just like your cable or phone bill. I'm not saying this is necessarily a good or a bad idea - it depends on the situation. Some people are happier who own their own home (but must make all of their own repairs) and others are happier who rent (and somebody else is responsible for keeping things in working order).

But, to get back to the point of the article, there's simply not alot of motivation for most people to shell out the money to upgrade to a new home just for some different color paint and a few landscape improvements. Moreover, alot of people aren't even interested in a bigger house, the one they have know is working out just fine for them. Some others may want to rent the "better" house if the monthly payments are tolerable. And the rest will scatter to the country where it's free and open source once their current house finally breaks down and they can't afford the repairs. There's a place for everyone.

Tom Dierickx March 13, 2004


I'am not worried about microsoft worst enemy becouse they will be making a lots of worms and viruses for older versions of Win OS's, even releasing a part of the code. It's their only chance. In a year suddenly we will see a tottaly new virus that burns WinXP. Please buy a Longohorn ! :)

Aleksandar Pavkov May 19, 2004


I read Michael Otey's Editorial: "Microsoft's Worst Enemy" (March 2004, InstantDoc ID 41673), and I agree with most of the points he made about companies not upgrading to new products because earlier versions are "good enough." However, Microsoft can force companies to upgrade by discontinuing support for a given product, especially server products.
I'm the program manager for EDS's Windows NT 4.0 migration program.
Microsoft's decision to discontinue support for NT 4.0 prompted us to undertake a major program initiative to migrate all of our NT 4.0 servers. Yes, NT 4.0 might be "good enough" for some companies who currently run the OS, but with proliferating virus threats and security holes, NT 4.0 is no longer good enough for our company. We know that we can't expect Microsoft to support products forever, so we must upgrade.

Kendall Pierce June 01, 2004


I remember a time when a Microsoft software upgrade gave me more features for my money. I could install an upgrade and gain a better functioning system with more options than the previous software version had. Now, however, some of the latest upgrades are more like downgrades.
Take Microsoft Exchange Server 2003, for example. I recently purchased this version of Exchange only to find out after the fact that Microsoft removed the Instant Messaging Server functionality and recommends replacing it with Microsoft Office Live Communications Server 2003. When I contacted Microsoft about the change, I found out that Live Communications Server is available only for an additional charge.
In another example, one of my clients purchased Windows Server 2003 to use solely as a terminal server. I found out that Microsoft's change in licensing for Terminal Services requires a separate Client Access License (CAL) for every OS, including XP Pro and Win2K Pro. (Win2K Terminal Services doesn't require a CAL for XP Pro or Win2K Pro clients--only for Windows Me, Windows 9x, and other OSs.) So, my client ended up upgrading a server to the latest version only to have to pay more to achieve the same level of functionality of an earlier version.
I believe in Microsoft and its products. I truly believe those products are the best available, but this abuse has to stop. I urge everyone with a similar complaint to write to your local Microsoft representatives and tell them how angry you are with this situation. In the past, an upgrade was simply an upgrade. Now, I have no idea what I'm going to end up with when I install a new product without combing through the fine print.

Jared Shapiro June 01, 2004


What is the problem with you people? You are all stuck with the mind set that change is wrong.
That guy that bought Exchange Server 2003. You can download a fully functional demo copy of E2k3 for free and try it out for 120 days. And if you don't like the product then no money was lost.
It is so easy to upgrade from a previous product. Try doing that with third-party crap. Just do the research before purchasing something. Quality don't come cheap, but with Microsoft you are getting what you pay for.

Jeff Richardson June 04, 2004


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